Assumption vs Army FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
35%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Assumption
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
RAN
0 - 0
ASS
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2015 |
PHU
6 - 5
ASS
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
ASS
4 - 3
RAN
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 1
ASS
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
ASS
4 - 1
RBA
70%
18%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Army FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 0
KAS
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2015 |
THA
2 - 4
ARM
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
KAS
1 - 3
ARM
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 1
ASS
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
NBC
0 - 1
ARM
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |