ASSU vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
ASS
37%
27%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
POT
2 - 0
ASS
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ARN
4 - 1
ASS
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 1
GLO
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 1
ABC
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
ALE
1 - 3
GLO
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALE
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ALE
2 - 3
ABC
18%
24%
58%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
ALE
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
ARN
2 - 1
ALE
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |