ASSU vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
69.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ARN
4 - 1
ASS
76%
16%
9%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
ASS
1 - 1
CEC
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ASS
2 - 3
SAN
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 0
ASS
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
POT
1 - 2
ASS
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CEC
1 - 1
ABC
11%
17%
72%
|
67 | 16 | 51 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
ABC
2 - 1
POT
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ABC
4 - 2
ARN
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
ABC
2 - 1
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ALE
1 - 6
ABC
12%
20%
69%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | +1 |