Ass. Naval 1893 U19 vs SC Covilha U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
4º
3º
1
4º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 29 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
19 | 25 |
3º
|
81% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 24 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 24 |
5º
|
72.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 19 |
6º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
1 | 7 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 5 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ass. Naval 1893 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
ASN
1 - 2
UDO
47%
22%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CON
0 - 3
ASN
35%
22%
42%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ASN
1 - 1
POM
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GOU
2 - 0
ASN
42%
22%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ASN
1 - 0
MAR
65%
18%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
SPC
1 - 2
CON
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
POM
3 - 0
SPC
63%
19%
18%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SPC
1 - 4
GOU
23%
20%
57%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SPC
1 - 3
MAR
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SPC
1 - 2
ASN
27%
21%
51%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |