Ass. Naval 1893 U19 vs Gouveia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
25%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
4º
3º
23
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
23 | 29 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
19 | 25 |
3º
|
81% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 24 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 24 |
5º
|
72.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 19 |
6º
|
99.5% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 7 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 5 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ass. Naval 1893 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ASN
0 - 0
SPC
63%
19%
19%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BEI
6 - 0
ASN
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ASN
3 - 1
ACV
36%
22%
42%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
UDO
3 - 3
ASN
29%
21%
50%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ASN
6 - 0
POM
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Gouveia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GOU
2 - 0
CON
52%
21%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GOU
1 - 3
BEI
22%
23%
54%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ACV
0 - 2
GOU
65%
18%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GOU
2 - 3
UDO
64%
18%
18%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
POM
2 - 2
GOU
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |