Naval 1º de Maio vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
72.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
16%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval 1º de Maio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
5 - 0
ANM
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ANM
1 - 5
OPE
10%
19%
71%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ANM
0 - 3
IDE
12%
17%
72%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
ANM
3 - 7
BEN
10%
22%
67%
|
21 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
OLE
5 - 3
ANM
46%
22%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
UDL
1 - 0
IDE
70%
18%
11%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
OLE
0 - 4
UDL
8%
20%
72%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
UDL
0 - 3
FAT
69%
19%
11%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
UDL
28%
28%
44%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
UDL
1 - 0
VIT
80%
13%
6%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |