Naval 1º de Maio vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
69.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval 1º de Maio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ANM
1 - 1
VIT
17%
19%
64%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
UDL
6 - 0
ANM
88%
10%
3%
|
24 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ANM
0 - 4
CAR
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
OPE
4 - 1
ANM
82%
13%
5%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
IDE
5 - 1
ANM
76%
15%
10%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
IDE
1 - 0
SER
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
OLE
83%
13%
5%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SER
0 - 1
FAT
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
OPE
0 - 1
SER
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 0
SER
18%
23%
59%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -2 |