Lusitano Évora 1911 vs O Elvas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
1º
1º
6
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 8 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 6 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 6 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano Évora 1911
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
AMO
1 - 2
ALE
37%
28%
36%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FAT
0 - 1
ALE
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
OEL
1 - 4
ALE
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
ALE
3 - 1
AMO
49%
27%
25%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ALE
3 - 0
FAT
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
OEL
2 - 1
FAT
61%
24%
15%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
AMO
1 - 1
OEL
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
OEL
1 - 4
ALE
53%
27%
20%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FAT
3 - 1
OEL
25%
26%
49%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
OEL
0 - 0
AMO
59%
25%
16%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |