Assisense vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
62.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Assisense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2018 |
ASS
2 - 0
TUP
12%
17%
71%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
T10
2 - 1
ASS
50%
21%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ASS
2 - 0
GRE
13%
17%
70%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | +3 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
4 - 0
ASS
63%
19%
19%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
GRE
9 - 1
ASS
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
T10
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 2
SAN
15%
17%
69%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
VOC
52%
22%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
TUP
0 - 0
SAN
41%
22%
38%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
ECN
54%
24%
23%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |