Assisense vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
57.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Assisense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 7
GRE
23%
23%
53%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
TUP
1 - 0
ASS
68%
18%
15%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ASS
2 - 1
OSV
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
PPR
3 - 3
ASS
16%
20%
64%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
ELO
1 - 0
ASS
35%
24%
41%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
VOC
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 0
SAN
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 2
TUP
36%
27%
38%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
OSV
0 - 1
SAN
17%
21%
63%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
PPR
0 - 4
SAN
12%
18%
70%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |