Aspudden-Tellus vs Karlberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspudden-Tellus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
AKR
5 - 0
ASP
68%
19%
14%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SYR
5 - 1
ASP
68%
17%
15%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
ASP
2 - 0
KON
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
KVA
1 - 1
ASP
37%
24%
40%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2014 |
ASP
1 - 1
GAM
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Karlberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
KAL
2 - 3
STR
49%
23%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
KAL
1 - 3
VAS
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
NOR
5 - 0
KAL
72%
16%
12%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
AKR
4 - 0
KAL
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
KAL
4 - 1
SOL
25%
22%
52%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +4 |