Aspe B vs Obrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+116%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspe B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MED
1 - 4
ASP
6%
12%
82%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ASP
1 - 3
GAB
33%
20%
47%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 3
ASP
25%
20%
55%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ASP
3 - 1
AGO
76%
14%
11%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
INM
2 - 2
ASP
35%
21%
44%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
OBR
4 - 1
PET
42%
20%
38%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
OBR
3 - 4
COC
26%
20%
54%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MED
1 - 3
OBR
41%
20%
39%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
OBR
1 - 4
GAB
6%
10%
85%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
5 - 4
OBR
70%
15%
15%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |