Aspe B vs Castalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
70.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspe B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
NOV
5 - 0
ASP
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ASP
4 - 0
NUC
63%
17%
19%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CCT
3 - 3
ASP
44%
21%
35%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
ASP
1 - 1
PEA
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
BNY
3 - 3
ASP
79%
13%
8%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
CAS
7 - 0
NUC
86%
9%
5%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
PEA
1 - 2
CAS
6%
12%
82%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 3
ELC
54%
20%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
ATL
1 - 2
CAS
21%
20%
59%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CAS
5 - 2
MON
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | +1 |