UD Aspe vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Aspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ASP
1 - 2
PET
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ALG
1 - 4
ASP
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ASP
1 - 1
MON
69%
18%
14%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PIN
1 - 3
ASP
11%
18%
71%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ASP
3 - 1
GUS
28%
22%
50%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ALG
2 - 1
UDF
37%
22%
41%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
UDF
3 - 0
PIN
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
UDF
45%
23%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
UDF
1 - 2
ALB
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ALG
2 - 3
UDF
54%
22%
25%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |