UD Aspe vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Aspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 0
ASP
43%
24%
33%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ASP
0 - 4
RAY
12%
20%
68%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 1
ASP
44%
23%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ASP
0 - 3
CRE
19%
25%
56%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
RED
3 - 0
ASP
65%
19%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
3 - 1
MUR
46%
24%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BFL
1 - 4
NOV
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
NOV
3 - 4
RAV
70%
18%
12%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 0
NOV
35%
25%
40%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 1
SPO
51%
23%
26%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |