UD Aspe vs Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Aspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
ASP
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 2
ASP
38%
24%
39%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ASP
1 - 0
ALG
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
ASP
38%
22%
40%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 3
ASP
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
RAF
1 - 2
RAC
69%
17%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
RAF
1 - 2
GUS
17%
18%
65%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 3
RAF
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
RAF
3 - 3
ALG
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ELD
3 - 1
RAF
78%
13%
9%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |