ASPDIF vs Mirebalais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPDIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
ASP
2 - 1
JSC
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
ASP
1 - 1
AIG
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
ASP
1 - 3
RAC
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
VIO
1 - 1
ASP
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
DAC
1 - 1
ASP
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mirebalais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
CAV
1 - 0
ASM
37%
31%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
ASM
3 - 2
GON
48%
28%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
CAP
0 - 0
ASM
48%
28%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2009 |
ASM
0 - 0
TEM
42%
29%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
ASM
1 - 1
VIC
48%
29%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |