ASPDIF vs Mirebalais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirebalais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 1
ASM
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
GON
3 - 0
ASM
39%
30%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ASM
3 - 0
GON
42%
30%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ASM
1 - 0
VIO
42%
30%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2008 |
ASM
0 - 0
VIC
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |