ASOM vs USFAS Bamako analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
29.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASOM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BAK
1 - 0
ASO
46%
30%
25%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
ASO
0 - 1
POL
39%
29%
32%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
DUG
0 - 0
ASO
48%
28%
24%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2022 |
ASO
1 - 2
BAM
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
ASO
0 - 0
LAF
38%
28%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
USFAS Bamako
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
USF
1 - 0
BST
36%
29%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
KOR
0 - 1
USF
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
USF
1 - 1
30%
29%
41%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
DOU
1 - 1
USF
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2021 |
USF
0 - 0
AFE
32%
30%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |