Copa Peru Last 16
Global 3-3
ADT vs Defensor Zarumilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
DZP
3 - 1
ADT
18%
21%
61%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ADT
2 - 0
UNI
15%
20%
65%
|
30 | 67 | 37 | +3 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 0
ADT
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 66 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ADT
4 - 0
SPO
15%
20%
65%
|
28 | 63 | 35 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
JGP
1 - 2
ADT
16%
21%
64%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Zarumilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
DZP
3 - 1
ADT
18%
21%
61%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |