Asker vs Tromso II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
11.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
13º
4º
28
8º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 2
ASK
17%
19%
65%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
ASK
3 - 0
KFU
84%
10%
6%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 3
ASK
26%
22%
53%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
ASK
5 - 1
SAR
81%
12%
8%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
MJO
1 - 2
ASK
30%
22%
48%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Tromso II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
TRO
6 - 0
SIK
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
OPP
3 - 2
TRO
46%
21%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 3
ASK
26%
22%
53%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
SKE
2 - 1
TRO
36%
21%
43%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 1
FLO
35%
22%
43%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |