Asker vs Sarpsborg 08 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
13º
4º
29
10º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
MJO
1 - 2
ASK
30%
22%
48%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
SIK
1 - 2
ASK
35%
22%
43%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2023 |
ASK
6 - 2
SKE
77%
14%
10%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
OPP
2 - 1
ASK
26%
22%
52%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
ASK
6 - 0
HIS
95%
4%
1%
|
41 | 7 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 2
FOL
14%
21%
66%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
OPP
2 - 2
SAR
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SAR
5 - 0
HIS
95%
4%
1%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SKA
0 - 2
SAR
36%
21%
43%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 2
SKE
55%
19%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |