Asker II vs Modum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
59.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asker II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2012 |
MJO
0 - 1
ASK
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2012 |
VIL
5 - 4
ASK
14%
20%
67%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2012 |
ASK
2 - 3
LYN
14%
22%
64%
|
18 | 64 | 46 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
RIL
3 - 2
ASK
20%
22%
57%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
ASK
7 - 3
ROA
42%
24%
35%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2012 |
MOD
3 - 1
RAU
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
NLI
0 - 3
MOD
13%
20%
68%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
MOD
4 - 1
DRA
68%
17%
14%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
MOD
3 - 1
ULL
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
MJO
4 - 1
MOD
44%
24%
33%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |