St. Valentin vs Zebau Bad Ischl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
70.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+74%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
16º
16º
33
10º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 56 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
78% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
62% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
92% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
73% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
73% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Valentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2025 |
STM
2 - 1
ASV
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
ASV
2 - 3
UNP
17%
21%
62%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
SVF
7 - 0
ASV
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
ASV
2 - 2
SBL
16%
18%
66%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
GMU
2 - 3
ASV
68%
18%
15%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Zebau Bad Ischl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2025 |
SVZ
2 - 4
UNI
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
BAD
2 - 2
SVZ
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
SVZ
2 - 2
URB
77%
13%
10%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
OST
0 - 4
SVZ
55%
19%
25%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
SVZ
2 - 2
GRU
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |