St. Valentin vs SV Friedburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
58.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
6º
16º
15º
44
7º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Valentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
BAD
4 - 0
ASV
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ASV
1 - 1
SPG
42%
24%
35%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
OED
3 - 0
ASV
90%
8%
3%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ASV
5 - 0
WEL
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
WEA
3 - 1
ASV
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
SV Friedburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
SVF
2 - 0
UMA
35%
21%
44%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 2
SVF
53%
20%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
SVF
1 - 2
SVZ
52%
20%
28%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
OST
0 - 3
SVF
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
SBL
0 - 2
SVF
25%
21%
55%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |