St. Valentin vs Union Dietach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
11º
6º
49
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Valentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
OED
2 - 2
ASV
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ASV
5 - 0
UMA
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ASV
1 - 0
FRI
63%
19%
19%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
1 - 0
ASV
56%
21%
24%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ASV
10 - 0
STA
86%
10%
4%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Union Dietach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PWD
4 - 3
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
STA
0 - 11
PWD
5%
11%
84%
|
25 | 7 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PWD
1 - 8
GRU
55%
21%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SPG
3 - 3
PWD
32%
22%
46%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
PWD
2 - 0
WEL
57%
20%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |