St. Valentin vs Oedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
67.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+90%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
11º
6º
65
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Valentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
UMA
0 - 1
ASV
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FRI
2 - 0
ASV
37%
22%
41%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ASV
1 - 0
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ASV
0 - 2
GRU
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
ASV
3 - 0
WEL
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Oedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
OED
2 - 2
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
OED
1 - 0
GRU
79%
14%
8%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SPG
1 - 6
OED
12%
17%
70%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
OED
3 - 0
WEL
84%
11%
5%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
OST
0 - 2
OED
9%
14%
77%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |