ASIL Lysi vs AEP Polemidion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
6º
3º
7
6º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASIL Lysi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ASI
2 - 0
ETH
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DIG
1 - 1
ASI
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ASI
0 - 0
IRA
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
KOU
0 - 1
ASI
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ASI
3 - 3
ETH
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AEP Polemidion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AEP
0 - 1
DIG
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
IRA
1 - 0
AEP
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AEP
0 - 1
ASP
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ETH
1 - 0
AEP
21%
24%
54%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
AEP
3 - 1
APE
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |