Ashington AFC vs Penrith AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
5.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ashington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
WHI
1 - 6
ASH
34%
21%
45%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CRO
4 - 0
ASH
9%
14%
77%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | -3 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ASH
3 - 3
CON
33%
22%
45%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
THO
5 - 0
ASH
34%
22%
45%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ASH
4 - 0
BIL
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Penrith AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
SUN
2 - 0
PEN
80%
12%
7%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 2
RAF
58%
19%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 2
WHI
30%
22%
49%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
GUI
1 - 2
PEN
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
THO
10%
15%
75%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | +2 |