Ashington AFC vs Newton Aycliffe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
37.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ashington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ASH
1 - 6
GUI
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ASH
1 - 2
SEA
61%
19%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
NOR
4 - 2
ASH
8%
13%
79%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
RAF
1 - 4
ASH
11%
16%
73%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 3
ASH
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Newton Aycliffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SUN
2 - 1
NEW
37%
23%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 2
PEN
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
RAF
0 - 4
NEW
15%
19%
66%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
WHI
0 - 3
NEW
22%
20%
58%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 0
BIL
80%
12%
7%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |