Asgabat U21 vs Merw U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asgabat U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2020 |
ASG
6 - 0
ENE
48%
21%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2020 |
KOP
2 - 1
ASG
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2020 |
ASG
2 - 1
SAG
60%
19%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2020 |
ALT
3 - 0
ASG
80%
14%
7%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2020 |
ASG
1 - 1
NEB
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Merw U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2020 |
MER
2 - 3
AHA
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2020 |
ENE
2 - 0
MER
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2020 |
MER
0 - 6
ALT
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2020 |
KOP
3 - 0
MER
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2020 |
MER
2 - 2
NEB
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |