ASFAN vs Olympic Niamey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASFAN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2016 |
ASF
1 - 0
DNI
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
AKO
0 - 1
ASF
41%
30%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
DKA
2 - 5
ASF
34%
30%
37%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
DNI
1 - 2
ASF
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
ASF
2 - 0
SON
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Olympic Niamey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
OLY
0 - 0
POL
40%
29%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
OLY
1 - 1
URA
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
OLY
0 - 0
SAH
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
GNN
4 - 1
OLY
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
OLY
0 - 4
DNI
39%
28%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |