ASFAN vs Nigelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASFAN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
AKO
2 - 2
ASF
21%
28%
50%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
URA
2 - 2
ASF
15%
28%
57%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
ASF
0 - 1
DNI
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
POL
3 - 2
ASF
32%
30%
38%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
ASF
1 - 2
POL
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nigelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
NIG
0 - 1
SON
27%
30%
43%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
NIG
0 - 0
POL
37%
29%
34%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
NIG
3 - 2
TAH
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
NIG
4 - 1
ESP
67%
21%
13%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2019 |
ESP
0 - 5
NIG
22%
28%
51%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |