ASFAN vs Nigelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASFAN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2016 |
OLY
1 - 0
ASF
43%
29%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
POL
0 - 1
ASF
41%
29%
31%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 3
ASF
27%
30%
43%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
ASF
10 - 0
ESP
68%
21%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ASF
3 - 0
POL
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nigelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2016 |
NIG
0 - 3
DNI
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
NIG
1 - 0
URA
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
NIG
0 - 0
POL
55%
25%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
POL
0 - 2
NIG
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
URA
1 - 2
NIG
35%
31%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |