ASFAN vs Douanes Niamey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASFAN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SAH
1 - 1
ASF
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
SON
1 - 2
ASF
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
GNN
2 - 0
ASF
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -3 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
ASF
3 - 0
ESP
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
ASF
0 - 1
JAN
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Douanes Niamey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
USG
1 - 1
DNI
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
DNI
1 - 0
SAH
40%
29%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
SON
0 - 1
DNI
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
GNN
1 - 1
DNI
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
DNI
1 - 0
URA
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |