ASFAN vs Douanes Niamey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASFAN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
POL
1 - 2
ASF
41%
29%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
ASF
0 - 0
URA
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ASF
2 - 0
POL
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
DNI
0 - 1
ASF
49%
27%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ASF
1 - 0
AKO
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Douanes Niamey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
USG
2 - 0
DNI
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
DNI
2 - 2
USG
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
DNI
0 - 1
ASF
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
IRT
1 - 0
DNI
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
DNI
1 - 2
IRT
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |