ASFAN vs Al-Ittihad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
62.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASFAN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ALI
4 - 0
ASF
82%
12%
6%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ALH
4 - 2
ASF
26%
23%
51%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ASF
0 - 0
DJO
42%
24%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
ASF
1 - 1
SAH
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
POL
1 - 1
ASF
34%
24%
41%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
ALA
1 - 3
ALI
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ALI
4 - 0
ASF
82%
12%
6%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ALI
4 - 0
ALH
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
DJO
0 - 1
ALI
21%
22%
57%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
ALI
2 - 0
NAJ
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |