ASFAN vs Akokana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASFAN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NIG
1 - 1
ASF
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
ASF
2 - 1
JAN
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
TAG
0 - 3
ASF
27%
26%
46%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
BOU
0 - 2
ASF
40%
28%
31%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2017 |
SON
0 - 0
ASF
44%
29%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Akokana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
AKO
1 - 1
POL
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
AKO
2 - 3
SAH
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
DNI
2 - 0
AKO
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
JAN
0 - 0
AKO
33%
29%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2016 |
AKO
3 - 1
TAG
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |