Asenovets vs Nesebar analysis

Asenovets Nesebar
42 ELO 49
-1.2% Tilt 7%
9794º General ELO ranking 5803º
96º Country ELO ranking 49º
ELO win probability
23.2%
Asenovets
25.3%
Draw
51.5%
Nesebar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
Asenovets
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.5%
Win probability
Nesebar
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Asenovets
-17%
-14%
Nesebar

Points and table prediction

Asenovets
Their league position
Nesebar
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
83
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Nesebar
83
83
100%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
80
80
100%
Gigant Saedinenie
78
78
100%
Zagorets
76
76
100%
FK Haskovo 2009
69
69
100%
Rozova dolina
68
68
100%
Spartak Plovdiv
65
65
100%
Asenovets
64
64
0%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
64
64
0%
Yambol 1915
10º
57
57
10º
100%
Rodopa Smolyan
11º
55
55
11º
100%
Dimitrovgrad
12º
52
52
12º
100%
Sokol Markovo
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Levski Karlovo
14º
42
42
14º
100%
Karnobat
15º
41
41
15º
100%
Beroe Stara Zagora II
16º
37
37
16º
100%
 FK Sliven
17º
36
36
17º
100%
Atletik Kuklen
18º
36
36
18º
100%
Borislav 2009
19º
21
21
19º
100%
Vereya
20º
6
6
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Asenovets
Nesebar
Promotion
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Asenovets
Nesebar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Asenovets
Asenovets
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 May. 2023
SKM
Sokol Markovo
4 - 3
Asenovets
ASE
20%
20%
60%
41 28 13 0
20 May. 2023
ASE
Asenovets
1 - 1
 FK Sliven
SLI
78%
13%
9%
41 26 15 0
13 May. 2023
ZAG
Zagorets
2 - 0
Asenovets
ASE
67%
19%
14%
42 50 8 -1
10 May. 2023
ASE
Asenovets
0 - 2
Karnobat
KAR
70%
17%
13%
43 34 9 -1
04 May. 2023
ROZ
Rozova dolina
0 - 2
Asenovets
ASE
56%
22%
22%
41 45 4 +2

Matches

Nesebar
Nesebar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 May. 2023
NES
Nesebar
5 - 0
Levski Karlovo
LEV
87%
10%
4%
50 29 21 0
20 May. 2023
BSZ
Beroe Stara Zagora II
2 - 1
Nesebar
NES
16%
23%
61%
51 30 21 -1
13 May. 2023
NES
Nesebar
4 - 0
Dimitrovgrad
DIM
82%
12%
5%
51 36 15 0
10 May. 2023
GIG
Gigant Saedinenie
1 - 1
Nesebar
NES
36%
28%
36%
50 49 1 +1
06 May. 2023
NES
Nesebar
1 - 0
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
CHE
52%
23%
26%
50 50 0 0