Asenovets vs Brestnik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
51.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asenovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ZAG
1 - 2
ASE
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ASE
3 - 0
ROZ
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
RAK
5 - 0
ASE
73%
17%
11%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ASE
4 - 1
HEB
40%
25%
35%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LEV
1 - 0
ASE
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brestnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 1
SPA
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 0
TUN
65%
20%
16%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SPR
1 - 4
BRE
19%
24%
57%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 2
GIG
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
MAS
1 - 1
BRE
42%
26%
33%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |