Santa Maria Cilento vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
51.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Maria Cilento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
SMC
18%
21%
61%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SMC
3 - 1
CIT
68%
18%
15%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
TRA
4 - 1
SMC
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SMC
2 - 1
CSA
54%
22%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ACI
3 - 2
SMC
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAV
1 - 0
LUC
62%
23%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
USC
0 - 0
CAV
14%
21%
65%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
CAV
3 - 0
BIA
75%
18%
8%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 1
CAV
9%
19%
72%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAV
1 - 1
GIA
80%
15%
5%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |