Santa Maria Cilento vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Maria Cilento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
LIC
1 - 1
SMC
43%
25%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SMC
2 - 0
DAT
61%
19%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LUC
0 - 0
SMC
44%
22%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
SMC
2 - 0
ROC
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
PAT
0 - 2
SMC
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
MES
1 - 0
PAT
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
DAT
1 - 2
MES
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MES
1 - 0
USC
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ROC
0 - 1
MES
37%
27%
37%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
MES
2 - 2
GEL
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |