Vastogirardi vs Vastese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastogirardi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
VAS
4 - 1
TER
30%
22%
48%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
VAS
2 - 0
CAS
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
VAS
1 - 1
CAS
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FAN
1 - 1
VAS
50%
23%
28%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
NER
1 - 3
VAS
8%
14%
78%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2022 |
TRA
4 - 0
ASD
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
NER
1 - 2
ASD
7%
15%
78%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ASD
0 - 0
POR
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
TRA
1 - 2
ASD
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 2
SFF
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |