Vastese vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
42.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
10º
16º
14º
43
1º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 47 |
7º
|
84.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
46.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
89.5% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 32 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
39% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 29 |
18º
|
39% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VSU
1 - 0
ASD
48%
22%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ASD
3 - 1
VAS
28%
25%
46%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MAT
2 - 0
ASD
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ASD
0 - 1
FAN
44%
28%
28%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TER
1 - 1
ASD
42%
23%
36%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SSS
0 - 0
RCF
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
SSS
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SSS
0 - 2
TRA
44%
27%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UST
1 - 3
SSS
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SSS
0 - 3
PIN
49%
27%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |