Vastese vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
51.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 1
ASD
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ASD
2 - 0
AVE
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VAS
2 - 1
ASD
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ASD
2 - 1
JES
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 2
ASD
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VAS
0 - 1
MAT
21%
25%
54%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MAT
3 - 0
JES
88%
9%
3%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 2
MAT
16%
22%
62%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAT
0 - 0
CAM
72%
18%
11%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 3
MAT
14%
22%
64%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |