Vastese vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
20%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ASD
5 - 2
NER
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 1
MON
64%
21%
16%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
POR
1 - 2
ASD
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 0
TRA
23%
26%
52%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SFF
1 - 4
ASD
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 0
FAN
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
FAN
3 - 0
SFF
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
NER
0 - 2
FAN
15%
21%
65%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
FAN
0 - 3
REC
25%
28%
47%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
TRA
3 - 1
FAN
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |