Ugento vs SS Manfredonia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ugento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
FRA
1 - 1
UGE
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
UGE
1 - 4
MAT
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
ASF
0 - 2
UGE
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
UGE
2 - 0
MAR
25%
26%
49%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | +3 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
BRI
3 - 0
UGE
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 1
SSM
56%
26%
18%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SSM
2 - 2
BRI
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
PAL
1 - 1
SSM
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SSM
2 - 1
ACE
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
VIR
3 - 2
SSM
59%
26%
16%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |