Ugento vs Acerrana 1926 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
30.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+307%
+229%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
9º
17º
15º
41
8º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 21 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ugento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
FIA
3 - 0
UGE
69%
19%
12%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
UGE
1 - 3
ISC
15%
19%
66%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FCF
2 - 0
UGE
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
UGE
1 - 0
SSM
13%
18%
69%
|
12 | 46 | 34 | +7 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 1
UGE
28%
21%
50%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Acerrana 1926
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ACE
1 - 2
MAT
16%
21%
64%
|
17 | 54 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ACC
4 - 2
ACE
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ACE
1 - 0
ASF
9%
14%
77%
|
12 | 42 | 30 | +5 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FRA
2 - 1
ACE
77%
15%
8%
|
12 | 54 | 42 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ACE
1 - 1
MAR
16%
22%
62%
|
11 | 56 | 45 | +1 |