Troina vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MDR
0 - 1
ASD
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 1
USC
52%
22%
25%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
STO
2 - 4
ASD
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ACI
4 - 2
ASD
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 0
PAL
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
4 - 4
USC
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 2
ACI
26%
26%
48%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MES
0 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
20%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
BIA
1 - 3
MAR
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 3
ACI
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |