Troina vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
58.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
LIC
0 - 0
ASD
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 1
USC
32%
26%
42%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
ASD
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 1
SMC
24%
23%
53%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BIA
1 - 2
ASD
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
GEL
4 - 0
SAN
72%
19%
9%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
TRA
1 - 1
GEL
66%
21%
14%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
GEL
4 - 1
REN
74%
18%
8%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
ACI
1 - 0
GEL
40%
28%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
GEL
4 - 2
CIT
62%
23%
16%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |